Related Factors for Survival in a Cohort of Patients with Severe Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease in a Long-Term of Follow-Up: Relationship with Aerobic Capacity Survival and Aerobic Capacity in COPD Patients
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Abstract
Introduction: Only Oga et al. (AJRCCM 2003) related survival and aerobic capacity, but only in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) men with 5 years of follow-up.
Objective: To determine survival in a cohort of patients with severe COPD due to aerobic capacity (VO2max) adjusted by weight.
Methods: Survival of COPD patients was evaluated to long-term (GOLD definition). Patients performed maximal exercise test in cicloergometry (expired gases) evaluating (VO2max). Conventional statistics and Log-Rank survival analysis (Mantel-Cox) were used.
Results: We included 70 patients (27% female) followed up 60.77 months (RIQ 29-87.85); age 68 years (RIQ 63-73); %FEV1 postBD: 39.95±2.09; VO2p: 9.25± 3.17 ml/kg/min. GOLD D/B/A 84.3/14.2/1.5%; GOLD II/III/IV: 15.7/61.4/22.9%.
After 14 years of follow-up, 75% of patients died. Survival: VO2p (ml/kg/min) first quartil was 38.5 months (RIQ 18,25-58,5); second quartil 66 months (RIQ 35-84.5); third quartil 70 months (RIQ 15-96) and fourth quartil 68 months (RIQ 48-93). After 103 months of follow-up, survival was compared: 1st vs 4rd quartil of VO2p (p<0.01) and 2nd vs. 4rd quartil (p<0.03); comparing at 145 months: 2nd vs. 4rd quartil (p=0.049).
In a multivariate analysis, high VO2p is a protective factor on mortality, nevertheless other independent variables as male gender, age>70, severe airway obstruction and frequent exacerbators were associated to mortality.
Conclusion: At long term of follow-up, a cohort of severe COPD patients (males and females), in multivariate analysis, high VO2p is a protective factor of mortality, nevertheless other independent variables as male gender, age>70, severe airway obstruction and frequent exacerbators were associated to mortality.
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